The NATO summit is anticipated to be a victory for Trump and a setback for Ukraine.

NATO leaders meet Tuesday in The Hague for a high-stakes summit that will cover topics such as a proposed 5% GDP target and questions about Kyiv’s role at the table. will be held, in The Hague on June 23, 2025. © Robin van Lonkhuijsen, ANP/AFP
U.S. President Donald Trump and his NATO counterparts are due to gather Tuesday for a summit that could unite the world’s biggest security organisation around a new defence spending pledge or widen divisions among the 32 allies.Dealing with Moscow is in its DNA. Keeping the peace outside the Euro-Atlantic area is not.

NATO’s ranks have grown to 32 countries since the Washington Treaty was signed 75 years ago. Sweden joined last year, worried by an increasingly aggressive Russia.

NATO’s collective security guarantee — Article 5 of the treaty — underpins its credibility.

It’s a political commitment by all countries to come to the aid of any member whose sovereignty or territory might be under attack. Trump has suggested he is committed to that pledge, but he has also sowed doubt about his intentions. He has said the U.S. intends to remain a member of the alliance.