Harris has regained a slight lead among likely voters nationwide, the ABC poll finds
Vice President Kamala Harris has regained a slight lead among likely voters nationwide in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll, though the race is close enough to leave the outcome of the 2024 presidential election up in the air. Electoral College.
Participation is essential. Only 2 percentage points separate Harris and Donald Trump among all registered voters, 49-47%. That gives Harris a slight lead among likely voters, 51-47%, with some pro-Harris groups showing slightly more inclination to vote.
Compared to earlier this month, Harris regained a more mainstream Democratic advantage among Hispanics and widened his lead among suburban women, while remaining strong in key groups, including blacks. Trump has struggled to win in rural areas and among white men without college degrees, and is competitive among young people.
The candidates share the pie in terms of trust to address key issues. Trump’s top issues are immigration, with a 12-point lead over Harris among registered voters; economy as a whole, + 8 points; inflation, +7; and the conflict in the Middle East, also +7. Harris answers with double digits in confidence to address abortion (+15) and health care (+10); she is also 8 points ahead in confidence to handle “protecting American democracy” and +6 to help the middle class.
The main issues remain the economy and inflation, with respectively 90% and 85% of registered voters describing them as very important in their vote. But this survey, carried out for the ABC by Langer Research Associates, with field work by Ipsos, finds a change in intensity: with the stocks that place the most importance on the economy or inflation, calling “one of the most important issues” in the votes. , have fallen by 7 points each since September.
ABC NEWS / IPSOS SURVEY
Any distance from economic concerns may help Harris, given his lack of confidence to address the issue and his dissatisfaction with the economic performance of the Biden administration. President Joe Biden enjoys only a 36% approval rating; getting out of it has been a challenge for Harris. He has the support of 95% of registered voters who approve of Biden’s job performance, compared to 16% of the majority who disapprove.
